DT Fixture Analysis 2016 – Round 16

Rounds 16+, 2016

The upcoming DT Fixture for each club, for Rounds 16+, overall (above) and broken down by position (below).

2016 Run Home (R16+) - ALL

DT Fixture Analysis 2016 – Round 16

This article looks to do something a little different – it will be a look at the upcoming rounds based purely on the AFL Fantasy/Dream Team (DT) Fixture. In other words, it’ll be a largely stats-based analysis with little subjectivity. DT Fixture Key

As will be updated every week, and as I’ve made available in previous years, here is the 2016 Fixture Analysis PDF, with figures up to date as of today. It’s all useful stuff and will become more so as we add more rounds of data to it. Download here:

PDF_LogoDT Fixture Analysis – After R15, 2016

Round 15 Recap:

St Kilda – (v Gold Coast @ Gold Coast) – WOWEE! The Saints did not have an easy matchup last week in hindsight. They were held to an incredibly small total of just 1293 DT points this week, with zero players getting to the triple figures. Not an easy matchup after all.

West Coast – (v Essendon @ Subiaco) – The Bombers are increasingly giving up points this year and that continued last week, putting 1781 points past the Bombers including 5 x 100s.

Carlton – (v GWS @ GWS) – The Blues performed a minor miracle by actually having a few solid DT scorers this week. Their team put up 1576 which is excellent for an away team at GWS, and we even finally had a player crack the 110 barrier, with Bryce Gibbs saluting with a huge 126 – take a bow, Bryce!

Western Bulldogs – (v Sydney @ Sydney) – Without North, Geelong or the Giants this week there were no obvious hard matchups and despite putting the Bulldogs in the tough-ish category they managed to score alright (1662 points). A few Doggies put up decent totals as well.

Who has the EASY match-ups this week:

St Kilda – (v Essendon @ Essendon) – Ok, so the Saints rudely gave us nothing last week but as per the Fixture Analysis they really have a good matchup this week, playing the Bombers and it being at Etihad. The Saints are scoring over 1600 pts on average in games at Etihad this year and over 4 x 100s per game, and the Bombers have only held one team below 1600 points in the past ten weeks (and that wasn’t much under). The Dons are also giving away more scores of 120+ than anybody, and are every chance to be missing both first choice ruckmen.

GWS – (v Collingwood @ Western Sydney) – In losses this year, Collingwood are conceding an average of 1740 points, 4.1 x 100s & 2 x 120s. In home games this year, GWS are scoring an average of 1780 points & 6.8 x 100s. The Giants have been pounding teams in their home games and when the Pies have lost they have been losing easy. A few good scores beckon for the Giants this week.

Who has the HARD match-ups this week:

Collingwood – (v GWS @ Western Sydney) – The Giants have been unbelievably restrictive in home games this year, conceding an average of only 1 x 100+ score per game, and in half of their games they’ve actually conceded none. In Western Sydney they’re giving up only 1392 points per game as well. It’ll be a tough matchup for the Magpies this week.

Sydney – (v Geelong @ Kardinia Park) – In four games at their home ground this year the Cats are back! They’re conceding an average of only 1374 points per game (very low!), only 1.5 x 100+ scores (also low!) and nobody has yet reached 120 down there against them. The Swans are certainly a better opponent than what they’ve faced down there yet, however it will be a very tough DT match for them on paper.

So there you go. Use the fixture analysis, check out how teams scored in Round 15 and go with your gut. The numbers don’t lie but they’re no guarantees. Good luck with your teams in Round 16 – hopefully this gives you a bit of help in some of your decisions!

Tim (3rdM)

@ShanghaiTim


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