The upcoming DT Fixture for each club, for Rounds 16+, overall (above) and broken down by position (below).
(Remember that we’re now up to Round 17)
DT Fixture Analysis 2016 – Round 17
This article looks to do something a little different – it will be a look at the upcoming rounds based purely on the AFL Fantasy/Dream Team (DT) Fixture. In other words, it’ll be a largely stats-based analysis with little subjectivity.
As will be updated every week, and as I’ve made available in previous years, here is the 2016 Fixture Analysis PDF, with figures up to date as of today. It’s all useful stuff and will become more so as we add more rounds of data to it. Download here:
Round 16 Recap:
St Kilda – (v Essendon @ Essendon) – The Saints didn’t really have a big day out on the weekend, with only Jack Steven really getting on his bike (and Hickey, but that was more due to Sam Michael & McKernan having to ruck). Only 1583 DT points for the Saints which was just around average.
GWS – (v Collingwood @ Western Sydney) – Whoa! The Giants got smacked around by the Magpies on the weekend and it was reflected in their DT scoring. Only one player hit 100 & the team scored only 1477 points, all of which are easily the lowest for the season at home for GWS.
Collingwood – (v GWS @ Western Sydney) – “The Giants have been unbelievably restrictive in home games this year, conceding an average of only 1 x 100+ score per game, and in half of their games they’ve actually conceded none. In Western Sydney they’re giving up only 1392 points per game as well. It’ll be a tough matchup for the Magpies this week.” – So that worked out well! Collingwood completely dismantled everything written in the above paragraph, putting up a whopping 1720 points away to GWS, including several 100s & even the 2nd 120+ score away to GWS for the season (congrats Travis Cloke!).
Sydney – (v Geelong @ Kardinia Park) – The Swans had a good win but still struggled to score that freely, scoring 1544 points down at the Cattery.
Who has the EASY match-ups this week:
Richmond – (v Essendon @ MCG) – The Bombers are (just) the highest conceding team for the year and have been on a roll of giving up at worst an average amount of points, and often a lot more. Richmond are the beneficiaries of that this week and should score better than average against the Dons.
Geelong – (v Freo @ Subiaco) – Freo gave up a massive 1956 DT points last week to the Demons and that makes three big totals conceded in their last three games. On form, the Cats should relish playing Freo this week, even away, as it seems the Dockers are a bit of a soft target just at the minute. It may well, again, be Dangerfield time.
Who has the HARD match-ups this week:
Brisbane – (v GWS @ Brisbane) – The Giants have been the most restrictive team this year all up, however away from home they really are just about middle of the pack. Still, they will be stung this week one would expect and the Lions have been struggling to score many points in recent weeks as it is so it still comes up as a harder than average fixture for the Lions.
Freo – (v Geelong @ Subiaco) – The Cats are still one of the more restrictive teams this year, even giving up only 1544 points to the Swans last week in a loss, and so it shapes as a tougher than average matchup for Freo.
So there you go. Use the fixture analysis, check out how teams scored in Round 16 and go with your gut. The numbers don’t lie but they’re no guarantees. Good luck with your teams in Round 17 – hopefully this gives you a bit of help in some of your decisions!