DT Fixture Analysis 2016 – Round 18

Rounds 18+, 2016

The upcoming DT Fixture for each club, for Rounds 18+, overall (above) and broken down by position (below).

(Remember that we’re now up to Round 18)

2016 Run Home (R16+) - ALL

DT Fixture Analysis 2016 – Round 18

This article looks to do something a little different – it will be a look at the upcoming rounds based purely on the AFL Fantasy/Dream Team (DT) Fixture. In other words, it’ll be a largely stats-based analysis with little subjectivity. DT Fixture Key

As will be updated every week, and as I’ve made available in previous years, here is the 2016 Fixture Analysis PDF, with figures up to date as of today. It’s all useful stuff and will become more so as we add more rounds of data to it. Download here:

PDF_LogoDT Fixture Analysis – After R17, 2016

Round 17 Recap:

Richmond – (v Essendon @ MCG) – The Bombers are (just) the highest conceding team for the year and have been on a roll of giving up at worst an average amount of points, and often a lot more. Richmond are the beneficiaries of that and scored accordingly, putting up 1791 points and several 100s, headlined by Dusty’s 160+ and even Deledio was on 66 at half time when he pulled up stumps for the day. Those Dons are paying out.

Geelong – (v Freo @ Subiaco) – Freo gave up a massive 1956 DT points last week to the Demons and then 1747 to the Cats and that makes four big totals conceded in their last four games. And yes, it was Dangerfield time again. And Selwood time. And so on.

Brisbane – (v GWS @ Brisbane) – “The Giants have been the most restrictive team this year all up, however away from home they really are just about middle of the pack. Still, they will be stung this week one would expect and the Lions have been struggling to score many points in recent weeks as it is so it still comes up as a harder than average fixture for the Lions.” Yep, they were held to 1394 points against the Giants and generally struggled to score (except for the usual suspects).

Freo – (v Geelong @ Subiaco) – The Cats are still one of the more restrictive teams this year, and that continued this weekend with the Dockers being held to just 1475 points.

Who has the EASY match-ups this week:

Brisbane – (v Essendon @ Docklands) – The Bombers are (just) the highest conceding team for the year and have been on a roll of giving up at worst an average amount of points, and often a lot more. Brisbane are the beneficiaries of that this week and should score better than average against the Dons. If your Brisbane players are ever going to have big/better scores, it should be this week.

Gold Coast – (v Freo @ Gold Coast) – Freo gave up a massive 1956 DT points last week to the Demons and then 1747 to the Cats and that makes four big totals conceded in their last four games. They’re really giving up a lot lately and Gold Coast, despite their injury concerns, should (relatively) be licking their lips this week as they should score well.

Who has the HARD match-ups this week:

Port Adelaide – (v GWS @ Adelaide Oval) – The Giants have been the most restrictive team this year all up, however away from home they really are just about middle of the pack. Still, they held the Lions pretty well last week so at the very least you shouldn’t be expecting your Port players to go completely nuts this week.

Adelaide – (v Geelong @ Geelong) – The Cats are still one of the more restrictive teams this year, even giving up only 1544 points to the Swans last time down at the Cattery in a loss, and so it shapes as a tougher than average matchup for Adelaide. They kept Adelaide to a relatively quiet 1573 points at Adelaide Oval earlier in the year, and the only player who really scored big was Sloane with a 155. It’ll be expected to be tough for the Crows this week (possibly Sloane excepted…?).

So there you go. Use the fixture analysis, check out how teams scored in Round 17 and go with your gut. The numbers don’t lie but they’re no guarantees. Good luck with your teams in Round 18 – hopefully this gives you a bit of help in some of your decisions!

Tim (3rdM)

@ShanghaiTim


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