DT Fixture Analysis 2016 – Round 19

Rounds 19+, 2016

The upcoming DT Fixture for each club, for Rounds 19+, overall (above) and broken down by position (below).

(Remember that we’re now up to Round 19)

2016 Run Home (R16+) - ALL

DT Fixture Analysis 2016 – Round 19

This article looks to do something a little different – it will be a look at the upcoming rounds based purely on the AFL Fantasy/Dream Team (DT) Fixture. In other words, it’ll be a largely stats-based analysis with little subjectivity. DT Fixture Key

As will be updated every week, and as I’ve made available in previous years, here is the 2016 Fixture Analysis PDF, with figures up to date as of today. It’s all useful stuff and will become more so as we add more rounds of data to it. Download here:

PDF_LogoDT Fixture Analysis – After R18, 2016

Round 18 Recap:

Brisbane – (v Essendon @ Docklands) – The Bombers are (just) the highest conceding team for the year and have been on a roll of giving up at worst an average amount of points, and often a lot more. Brisbane got outscored by the Dons in terms of DT points but still had a few big scores go up, including Stef’s 130 & Rocky’s 179.

Gold Coast – (v Freo @ Gold Coast) – For the fifth week in a row the Dockers gave up a huge DT total, with several Suns scoring well and the Suns as a whole going over 1800 points. Freo is paying out.

Port Adelaide – (v GWS @ Adelaide Oval) – The Giants have been the most restrictive team this year all up, however away from home they really are just about middle of the pack. Still, they held Port to a below average total of 1503 DT points so it was a tougher scoring day for the Power.

Adelaide – (v Geelong @ Geelong) – The Cats are still one of the more restrictive teams this year, even giving up only 1544 points to the Swans last time down at the Cattery in a loss, and so it shaped as a tough matchup for the Crows. It ended up going that way, Crows scoring only 1508 DT points, only one player reaching 100+ & the Crows have a several-goal loss.

Who has the EASY match-ups this week:

Adelaide – (v Essendon @ Adelaide Oval) – The Bombers are (just) the highest conceding team for the year and have been on a roll of giving up at worst an average amount of points, and often a lot more. Adelaide are the beneficiaries of that this week and should score better than average against the Dons. If your Crows players are ever going to have big/better scores, it should be this week.

Sydney – (v Freo @ Subiaco) – Freo are giving up massive points lately, giving up big team totals in all of their past 5 matches. Sydney should be licking their lips this week as they play the team who has given up more DT points this season than any other.

Who has the HARD match-ups this week:

Richmond – (v GWS @ Canberra) – The Giants have been the most restrictive team this year all up, and at home they really have been something else. In Canberra they are giving up only around 1400 points a game and only 1 x 100+ score per game. Richmond come up against the juggernaut this week and their players would have to be odds on to score lower than average.

Western Bulldogs – (v Geelong @ Geelong) – The Cats are still one of the more restrictive teams this year, even giving up only 1544 points to the Swans last time down at the Cattery in a loss, and so it shapes as a tougher than average matchup for the Bulldogs. The Cats have kept everybody quiet down at Kardinia Park so far this year (the Crows only had 1 x 100+ score last week) and so the Dogs will be up against it.

So there you go. Use the fixture analysis, check out how teams scored in Round 18 and go with your gut. The numbers don’t lie but they’re no guarantees. Good luck with your teams in Round 19 – hopefully this gives you a bit of help in some of your decisions!

Tim (3rdM)

@ShanghaiTim


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