Fixture Analysis – Round 18

 

The upcoming DT Fixture for each club, for Rounds 16-23.

DT Fixture Analysis 2017 – Round 18

This article looks to do something a little different – it will be a look at the upcoming rounds based purely on the AFL Fantasy/Dream Team (DT) Fixture. In other words, it’ll be a largely stats-based analysis with little subjectivity. 

As will be updated regularly, and as I’ve made available in previous years, here is the 2017 Fixture Analysis PDF, with figures up to date as of today. It’s all useful stuff and will become more so as we add more rounds of data to it. Download here:

PDF_LogoDT Fixture Analysis – After R15, 2017

 

Rounds 14-17 Snapshot (for those interested in immediate form)

Round 17 Recap:

The uber-premiums were back in form this week (or is that still in form? I guess it depends who you have). Ablett, Danger, Zerrett, Titch, Dusty etc all dominant.

In terms of teams, the Bombers scored by far the most this week – 1955 points against the Saints, a massive total! 7 players scored 100s, 3 scored 120s and they held the Saints to the lowest score of the week in return. A fair turnaround by the Saints considering what they did to Richmond a week earlier.

Collingwood, Port & Richmond also held their opponents below 1500 points for the week and thus were very restrictive. Richmond did play Brisbane though and Collingwood’s opponents (the Suns) did have two players off injured early so perhaps those aren’t greatly surprising. Port have been pretty restrictive this year though compared to average so their result is one to take a bit more notice of.

 

Who has the EASY match-ups this week:

Fremantle – (v Hawthorn @ Subiaco) – The Hawks have been giving up big scores all season and despite good performances in recent weeks they’ve still given up big scores to most teams, though the Cats were a notable exception this week. Still, the Hawks have given up as much as anyone over the past month and over the season as a whole so history suggests that Freo players should score better than average this week.

Hawthorn – (v Freo @ Subiaco) – Freo have given up the equal-2nd-most points per game this year and over the past month are the 2nd-most. Teams have been feasting on them in recent weeks so they’ve really been paying out. The Eagles definitely managed it last week, for example. It suggests that Hawthorn should score better this week than they have on average this year.

Who has the HARD match-ups this week:

Richmond – (v GWS @ MCG) – The Giants have long been a dominant force at home and this year is no exception. Currently, they are by far the most restrictive team in the AFL this year and are generally quite hard to score against. They’ve also been much better away from home this year than in previous years. They’ve also been the most restrictive team in the league over the past month. Can Dusty etc score well this week against them? For sure. Is it less likely than normal? Definitely is. Will you take the risk?

 

Best of luck for this week!

Tim (3rdM)

@ShanghaiTim


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