Fixture Analysis – Round 20

 

The upcoming DT Fixture for each club, for Rounds 19-23.

DT Fixture Analysis 2017 – Round 20

This article looks to do something a little different – it will be a look at the upcoming rounds based purely on the AFL Fantasy/Dream Team (DT) Fixture. In other words, it’ll be a largely stats-based analysis with little subjectivity. 

As will be updated regularly, and as I’ve made available in previous years, here is the 2017 Fixture Analysis PDF, with figures up to date as of today. It’s all useful stuff and will become more so as we add more rounds of data to it. Download here:

PDF_LogoDT Fixture Analysis – After R18, 2017

 

Rounds 15-18 Snapshot (for those interested in immediate form)

 

Round 19 Recap:

Well, the scoring has definitely slowed down in recent weeks. Not massively but it’s there. Round 18 was the lowest scoring round of the season across the AFL (for DT points) and while Round 19 was an improvement on that, most of the scoring took place on the Sunday, so any teams playing on Friday or Saturday likely had a bunch of lower scores.

For the 2nd time this season the Swans were held to a very low DT total by the Hawks (and I’m sure you were cursing your Swans players as a result) and also for the 2nd time this year Tom Mitchell was held to a low-ish score vs the Swans.

Freo scored unexpectedly decently against GWS away, with Luke Ryan gobsmackingly pumping out a 138 despite almost not scoring for most of the last quarter! Fyfe continued his form revival too.

Collingwood put up a large point-scoring display against the Crows and tagged Sloane to boot, keeping his up and down season going.

Who has the EASY match-ups this week:

Richmond – (v Hawthorn @ MCG) – The Hawks have been giving up a lot of points all season. Mostly anyway. And this week Richmond gets that benefit. A curiosity though is that the Hawks just kept Sydney to only 1474 pts, which is quite low. However, they kept Sydney to even less earlier in the year and yet most other teams continued to score big on the Hawks after that so I’m backing the Tigers in to do so as well. Now it’s all relative remember – Richmond are one of the lowest scoring teams this year (in terms of DT points) so having an easy matchup only means scoring above their average, not necessarily scoring huge.

Any more? Nobody else really stands out as having an easy week this week, again. The season is too volatile at present and even the Freo, who have been paying out for much of the year, held GWS to just 1584 points last week and now play the Suns, who scored only 1470 points last week and have their injury worries, so there’s hardly any confidence even going with that matchup this week. If they don’t tag though, it could be alright for some Suns mids.

Who has the HARD match-ups this week:

Melbourne – (v GWS @ Canberra) – The Giants have long been a dominant force at home and this year is no exception. Currently, they are by far the most restrictive team in the AFL this year and are generally quite hard to score against. They’ve also been much better away from home this year than in previous years. Freo did score alright last week away to GWS however, though the Giants have been more stingy at Canberra this year and that’s where they host the Dees this week. To what extent they can turn their form around and recapture their amazing restrictiveness shown at times at home over the past two years remains to be seen but it’s still not a good matchup for Melbourne this week.

 

Best of luck for this week!

Tim (3rdM)

@ShanghaiTim


Leave a Comment