1 – Leigh Montagna
You have to go back an astounding eight years to find the last time Joey didn’t crack the ton in a game against the Brisbane Lions, with scores of 114, 158, 112, 102, 126, 129 & 133 (124.9 avg) dating back to his last sub-100 score against them in 2008. You would expect Steven to take any attention that Robinson may provide, although he didn’t tag anyone last week. As a result Montagna should be a solid and quite a unique option this week. I still have flashbacks of losing a big money league in 2013 by 19 points when Montagna, who was my opponents captain, posted 189 on the Dockers in the final game of the season, he does tend to finish the season off rather well, with 3 tons in a row so far in the last month of 2016.
2 – Dan Hannebery
Hannebery has been absolutely sublime in the last month, posting scores of 145, 129, 128 and a 105 last week. His record against Richmond is almost equally as impressive in the last few years. WIth a 120 in Round 8, along with a 96 & a 143. Not saying the Swans will beat up the Tigers like the Saints did by any means, but the scores that quite a few Saints got last week will excite coaches with Hannebery, or any other Sydney midfielder actually.
3 – Lachie Neale
To say you expected what happened last week at Spotless regarding Neale, you’d either be joking or an absolute genius. Sure he did have a great record against them, but doing that (169) against the Giants, in a huge loss, on their home turf? Wow… Both Zaharakis & Merrett showed us last week what kind of score a losing midfield can obtain against a surprisingly easy team to score against recently. He managed a 102 last year on the Doggies and should be even better this time around.
4 – Tom Rockliff
Rockliff makes the top 5 this week solely on form & his recent record at Etihad (179 & 184 in his last two starts), and certainly NOT on his recent record against St. Kilda (90, 76, 144). I would be worried about some attention from Seb Ross considering the job he did on Martin(I believe?) last week while absolutely wrecking himself. He needed a big final quarter against the Cats to reach a respectable score, and I’m not entirely confident after seeing what the Saints did to the Tigers last weekend, no matter how tasty that Etihad record is, but I can understand why you would stick with him.
5 – Nick Riewoldt
Little bit of left field here considering his form against Brisbane, with 1 ton in his last 4 starts. I could certainly end up with egg on my face here, but hear me out. Excluding their two wins against Essendon & Carlton. Brisbane have given up 15 tons to forward-listed players in their last 6 starts. 15! That’s not just a quirk of the teams they face either, with a player on 6 occasions who tonned up kicking more than 4 goals. As long as Saint Nick can kick straight, he should have a very rewarding end to what has been an absolutely superb season. Very very risky, but there would be few with this kind of upside this week.
As always, if you have any other DT/AF statistical questions, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @CoachKoopK anytime.
1 – Scott Pendlebury
Those who backed the long time Supercoach jet last week would have been handsomely rewarded. It feels like this year has been a little up and down for Pendlebury, but this season should mark his 6th consecutive season of averaging 116+SC. This week Pendlebury plays the toughest team he’s faced over those 6 years, Hawthorn. However, that hasn’t deterred him before. In fact Pendles has a 5 round average of 124.8 against the Hawks. I’m going to back him to repeat last week’s efforts and finish the year strongly.
2 – Patrick Cripps
Patty Cripps is an absolute monster of a midfielder, and late into just his 3rd season he’s making his presence well and truly felt. Patty’s last 7 weeks have been phenomenal from a 3rd year player. He hasn’t dropped below the 100 mark in those games, and he even scored 153 last week against Melbourne. This week Cripps faces the struggling Bombers. What we’ve learnt this year is that Bombers don’t allow as much ‘easy’ uncontested ball as we thought they would. That won’t phase Cripps, he doesn’t know what an uncontested possession is. Expect him to run rampant again this week.
3 – Patrick Dangerfield
It just wouldn’t be fair to not include Dangerfield, after the season he’s had statistically. An average of 131 speaks for itself really. One thing I will add is that he struggled to a score of 74 against the Dees last year, and for one main reason, Bernie Vince. Last year Vince targeted Dangerfield physically and it worked, will Roos employ the same strategy again?
4 – Tom Rockliff
Speaking of high statistical players, enter Tom Rockliff. Rocky has been a lot closer to his best than he was at the start of the season. A 5 round average of 123 is more than solid. His history against the Saints is an interesting one, his last two ventures against them have ended in scores of 103 and 91. His meeting before those games though, netted a huge 166 points. If you captain him, it will be chasing that big score. I say go for it!
5 – Max Gawn
At the start of the year Gawn said that he wanted to become the comps number one ruckman this year, most of us laughed it off. In Supercoach terms, he’s definitely achieved that, with an average of 121. This week big Maximus faces Geelong, a team he scored 146 against last year. It is worth noting that Geelong where a lot easier to score against as a ruckman last year. The likes of Smith, Stanley and Dangerfield have helped Geelong compete a lot more at stoppages this season.
Thanks for tuning in this season!