This is it, the final week for 2016… Whether it be a Grand Final crack or a chance to win it overall I hope you have a cracker of a weekend & everything goes your way. Now let’s get into the final weekend warm up of the season.
Sadly the worst was confirmed Saturday afternoon… The great NicNat is out of action for the rest of 2016 and for a large portion of 2017. For those who own he would’ve been a great unique since coming back from his previous injury, but alas now it is time to trade (if you can.) So let’s look at the best available options, again assuming you have little to no cash in the kitty. In SuperCoach he’s worth $471,800 (7% ownership) while in AFLDreamTeam $396,400 (4% ownership) and finally AFLFantasy $388,000 (13% ownership).
At his price, your options are limited. If you have no money what so ever then a sideways move to Scott Lycett should score OK as the #1 ruck even though he comes up against Sam Jacobs who will also be a viable option if you have a spare $50K or so. In an ideal situation you’d be getting one of the big four in Max Gawn, Brodie Grundy Todd Goldstein ($465,200) or Stefan Martin ($510,300).
Falls Your Way
It takes skill to be successful to get in contention to win leagues and overall rankings, yes, no question. However, to take out the prize of overall rankings and league wins will take luck going your way. I hope for your sake whether it be leagues, drafts or in overall contention the luck goes your way this week. Fingers crossed!
Daily Fantasy Top Picks
Throughout the season we’ve had the opportunity to play many match-day fantasy formats, one of my personal favorites is one of the newer ones in DraftStars. Whether you choose to put some coin on the line and spend some of your hard earned, play the free games (which still have cash prizes) or just create your own challenge for mates you’ve got plenty of options. Of course if you are investing in the paid games, be sure to gamble responsibly. Here’s one player per game I think is well worth considering. Side note, for those that have never played it’s traditional DreamTeam scoring.
Adelaide Crows Vs West Coast Eagles
Cam Ellis-Yolmen – MID $10,450
With no Rory Sloane CEY walks straight into his spot in the Crows midfield. Back in round 20 he played as Scott Thompson was rested and he scored 90. Now it was against Brisbane, but a score of 80+ could well be on the cards. After posting a handy score last week you may be tempted by Chris Masten ($11,400) and while a 97 at that price is a handy score his past 5 weeks of footy scores are: 44, 52, 116, 62 & 97. He’s just as likely to cost you a game with those scoring variables as he is to win it for you.
Geelong Cats Vs Melbourne Demons
Scott Selwood – MID $9,400
It’s pretty hard to go wrong with this pick, at his price even a 70 is a reasonable enough score. The good news is I predict him to score much more than that. In his past fortnight he’s scored 104 & 85, if he can get anything over 80 this week that’s a massive win for a sub $10k investment. Angus Brayshaw ($9,050) is another of the cheaper brigade to consider while Cam Guthrie ($12,300) is averaging 91 in his past 5 and would be relatively unique. Lastly, to fill a bench spot you could do worse than pick Josh Cowan ($8,350) his lowest score in the past 3 weeks is 73.
Essendon Bombers Vs Carlton Blues
Mitch Brown – DEF/FWD $10,050
This guy is gonna be a popular pick this week! In his past 3 matches he’s scored 131, 103 & 97… Kinda says it all really. While he is more than capable of posting sub 50 scores, he’s been used as a tall defender these past few weeks which has seen him pick up plenty of cheap marks & kicks. With Carlton lacking any real damaging key forwards he could well replicate his past month of scores with another 100. Patrick Cripps ($14,400) is averaging 119 in his last 5, while Bryce Gibbs ($16,000) & Zach Merrett ($16,800) should both post nioce scores too, but come for a heavy price tag.
Sydney Swans Vs Richmond Tigers
Daniel Rioli – FWD $7,150
Certainly unlikely to post a massive score here, but for just over $7k his past 3 weeks of scores (82, 61, 79) are certainly more than reasonable returns on investment. Speaking of potential bargains Allir Allir ($7,800) is averaging 69 in his past 5 and in that time hasn’t scored below 60. Again not massive numbers, but getting value wins is crucial if your wanting to win. Meanwhile if your spending up big then the current form of Josh Kennedy ($15,850) Luke Parker ($16,200) and Dan Hannebery ($16,500) is certainly impressive, all 3 are averaging 118+ over the past 5 weeks.
Gold Coast Suns Vs Port Adelaide Power
Ollie Wines – MID $14,850
He’s the one for me, he’s coming off the back of 6 consecutive scores of 100 or more, and although he’s only got 1 score this season over 120 his career history certainly points to that not being his ceiling. Every man and his dog will pick Touk Miller ($11,500) who’s averaging 103 in his past 5 and is leading the Suns midfield nicely at the moment. Someone who has a great recent record at home (especially for his price) is Stephen May ($9,550) in his past 4 games at Metricon he’s scored 112 Vs Giants, 117, Vs Dockers, 80 Vs Lions & 88, Vs Saints. A few Port youngsters will make their debut, defender Riley Bonner ($6,400) he is currently averaging 66 in the SANFL this season while midfielder Will Snelling ($7,500) is averaging 85 from his 8 SANFL games this year, whether he plays midfield in the Power side on Saturday night I guess we’ll have to wait and see.
North Melbourne Kangaroos Vs Greater West Sydney Giants
Jamie Macmillian – DEF $11,350
He’s the one for me. In 4 of his past 5 games he’s scored 94 or more including 3 hundreds and had it not been for a disappointing 58 against Hawthorn a fortnight ago he’d arguably be the highest scoring defender in the past 5 weeks. Let’s put what he’s currently doing in perspective. In the past 5 weeks only Bachar Houli, Sam Docherty, Kade Simpson, Heath Shaw & Corey Enright average more. Daniel Wells ($12,550) has 3 scores of 100+ in his past 5 and certainly is capable of scoring nicely on most weeks. Another sneaky unique option is Ryan Griffen ($12,800) who’s scored 137 & 101 in his past 2 weeks and looks to be heading towards full fitness and form.
St Kilda Saints Vs Brisbane Lions
Tim Membrey – FWD $10,950
The Lions have a decimated backline and tall forwards have been getting hold of them basically all year. With the likes of Josh Bruce and Nick Reiwoldt (when he plays deep) to get the best 2 defenders it’ll once again free up Tim. Already this season he’s beaten up some lower raked teams and posted tons against Melbourne (twice) and Carlton. I can easily see him kicking a bad of 5+ goals and as such make his way into triple figures. Blake Acres ($10,150) recent form means his output with scores of 82, 91, 99 & 121 in his last 4 he looks like another cheap safe option. While if you wanna fork out the big bucks Leigh Montagna ($15,200) is back in form with scores of 100, 114 & 126 in his past 3.
Hawthorn Hawks Vs Collingwood Magpies
Brodie Grundy – RUC $14,650
He’s certainly no bargain but he’s in ripping form right now. Averaging 113 in his last 5 and with 99 his lowest score in the past 4 games he’s been in ominous form. Throw in the fact the Hawks are down on their ruck stocks due to an ACL injury for Jonathan Ceglar and it’s starting to point to a big afternoon for Brodie. The Magpies will love to try and cause an upset here and push the Hawks out of the top 4, plenty to play for here. If you need a cheaper option then you’ve got a plethora of sub $10 options in defense. James Aish, Brendon Whitecross, Brayden Maynard and even Travis Varcoe have all had strong games throughout the year. Personally I;d be looking towards Aish & Whitecross of the above listed.
Fremantle Dockers Vs Western Bulldogs
Lachie Neale – MID $16,600
It’s alot of money for Lachie, but I’m confident he’d be worth the investment. His 169 last week re-reminded DS coaches just how damaging a scorer he can be. He posted a triple figure score the last time he played the Dogs (round 1) and in his past 7 games he has 4 games which he’s scored 124 or more. I may be on my own here, but I don’t think this will be the points scoring bonanza for the Bulldogs that many seem to then it will be. With Fremantle great Matthew Pavlich playing his final game ever for the purple haze I expect them to come out breathing fire. That being said the likes of Marcus Bontempelli ($14,300) should yet again post triple figures. On current form he’s gonna be mighty popular, especially seeing as he’s only failed once since round 14 to score 100 or more.
If your feeling sentimental then selecting Matthew Pavlich $10,750 is the way to go. He (and his Dockers) will want to go out with a blaze of glory and while he is a shadow of his former greatness he’s still capable of pumping out the odd good score. Fremantle will be looking to get the ball in his hands as much as possible. It’s a wildcard move that could well make the difference.
What a year it has been! Hundreds of articles, over 100 podcasts uploaded plus thousands upon thousands of people every week connecting in with us through many forms of social media and of course via this website . From myself on behalf of everyone here at the Coaches Panel I wish to say ‘thank you’ for your support in 2016. We’ve loved being able to discuss SuperCoach, Real DreamTeam, UltimateFooty, Draft Stars & AFLFantasy with you. We trust you’ve been encouraged, stretched and resourced. Our hope always has( and always will be) to start the conversation, give you the tools you need to feel equipped to make the most informed decision for your unique side.
We’ll be back in just over a month with plenty of trade discussions (of course from a fantasy footy perspective) happening across our Twitter, Instagram & Facebook pages then in later in the year we’ll bring you the official positions for 2017 just before we officially kick off the 2017 preseason where some of your favourite series will return including my 50 most relevant (yep preparation has already begun) plus plenty of new plans in the pipelines.Thank you also to fellow panelists Ben, Kane, Koop, Hammer, Fish, Rids, Tim, Fox & Tooler for all you’ve done in serving the fantasy footy community this season, onward and upward in 2017!
Thanks again to everyone who read, downloaded, subscribed, commented, re-tweeted, replied, liked and joined the conversation this season. It’s been fun, let’s do it all over again next year.